Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Queretaro, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Martina Colmegna		Jessica Pieri

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	3.04	1.39
	1.74	2.00	Watch
	2.96	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (3.11)	1.5 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martina Colmegna
35.4%

Jessica Pieri
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

71.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martina Colmegna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Martina Colmegna's performance.

Jessica Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessica Pieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martina Colmegna than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Martina Colmegna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pieri than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessica Pieri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Martina Colmegna - Jessica Pieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Colmegna will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Pieri will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Colmegna is ranked WTA: 658. Pieri is ranked WTA: 255.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

In this match, Pieri is considered a favorite.

We predict that Pieri will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martina Colmegna
ATP Challenger
23.10.25	Ana Sofia Sanchez - Martina Colmegna	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Lian Tran - Martina Colmegna	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Alice Rame - Martina Colmegna	2:1 ✺
16.10.25	Martina Capurro Taborda - Martina Colmegna	1:2 ✺
14.10.25	Martina Colmegna - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWLWW
- Jessica Pieri
ATP Challenger
23.10.25	Diletta Cherubini - Jessica Pieri	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Natalia Sousa Salazar - Jessica Pieri	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Jessica Pieri - Cadence Brace	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	Katrina Scott - Jessica Pieri	1:2 ✺
15.10.25	Jessica Pieri - Kayla Cross	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW

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