Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: MONTERREY (MEXICO), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: MONTERREY (MEXICO) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	11:35	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	01:35	SportKlub
Croatia	01:35	SportKlub
Czech Republic	01:35	O2 TV Tenis
France	01:35	beIN Sports Max
Greece	02:35	Nova Sports
Serbia	01:35	SportKlub
Slovenia	01:35	SportKlub


	Caroline Garcia		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.45	2.8
	1.43	2.8
	1.46	2.95
	1.4	2.9
	1.4	2.96	Watch
	1.45	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)	2.86 ↓ (3)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caroline Garcia
66.7%

Elise Mertens
33.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caroline Garcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caroline Garcia than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	0%	15.8%

Caroline Garcia - Elise Mertens Predictions

Users Predictions: Caroline Garcia will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Garcia won 3.

Recent matches Garcia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mertens is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Garcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Garcia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Garcia won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caroline Garcia
WTA Monterrey
03.03.23	Caroline Garcia - Mayar Sherif	2:0 ✺
02.03.23	Caroline Garcia - Nuria Parrizas Diaz	2:0 ✺
28.02.23	Caroline Garcia - Kaja Juvan	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
21.02.23	Caroline Garcia - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
16.02.23	Maria Sakkari - Caroline Garcia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWWLL
- Elise Mertens
WTA Monterrey
03.03.23	Elise Mertens - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	2:0 ✺
02.03.23	Elise Mertens - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:1 ✺
28.02.23	Elise Mertens - Diana Shnaider	2:0 ✺
WTA Doha
14.02.23	Elise Mertens - Danielle Collins	0:2 ✺
13.02.23	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cincinnati
18.08.22	Elise Mertens - Caroline Garcia	0:2
WTA Dubai
10.03.21	Caroline Garcia - Elise Mertens	0:2
WTA Melbourne Gippsland Trophy
02.02.21	Elise Mertens - Caroline Garcia	2:0
WTA Roland Garros
02.10.20	Caroline Garcia - Elise Mertens	2:1
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
10.02.19	Elise Mertens - Caroline Garcia	0:2
WTA Beijing
04.10.17	Caroline Garcia - Elise Mertens	2:0

Caroline Garcia - Elise Mertens