Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Stuttgart, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday


	Elise Mertens		Diana Shnaider

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.77	2.02	Watch
	1.84	2.06
	1.84	1.95	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.78	2.04	Watch
	1.8	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2)	2.02 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
53.1%

Diana Shnaider
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elise Mertens's performance.

Diana Shnaider has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diana Shnaider might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elise Mertens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diana Shnaider than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diana Shnaider could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.9%	0%	48.1%

Elise Mertens - Diana Shnaider Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Shnaider will win (votes: 12 - 48%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mertens: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Mertens (votes: 5 - 50%). Shnaider (votes: 5 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 29. Shnaider is ranked WTA: 13.

Two players are playing changeable.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mertens won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Stuttgart
14.04.25	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
03.04.25	Qinwen Zheng - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Varvara Gracheva - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
23.03.25	Elise Mertens - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Elise Mertens - Peyton Stearns	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLW
- Diana Shnaider
WTA Stuttgart
14.04.25	Veronika Kudermetova - Diana Shnaider	1:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
03.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Diana Shnaider	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Polina Kudermetova - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
21.03.25	Diana Shnaider - Anna Blinkova	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
10.03.25	Belinda Bencic - Diana Shnaider	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Monterrey
28.02.23	Elise Mertens - Diana Shnaider	2:0

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