Match Info

Date: 16 April 2021, Friday


	Casper Ruud		Fabio Fognini

	1	2
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.1
	1.78	2.05	Watch
	1.71	2.07
	1.75	2.2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.67)	2.13 ↓ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casper Ruud
55.2%

Fabio Fognini
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Fabio Fognini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.8%	0%	65.2%

Casper Ruud - Fabio Fognini Predictions

Users Predictions: 115 users predict this event. Ruud will win (votes: 40 - 34.8%). Fognini will win (votes: 75 - 65.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fognini: 56.5% – 73.9%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ruud is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fognini is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fognini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ruud won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casper Ruud
ATP Monte Carlo
15.04.21	Casper Ruud - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
14.04.21	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
13.04.21	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Marbella
09.04.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
08.04.21	Gianluca Mager - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWLW
- Fabio Fognini
ATP Monte Carlo
15.04.21	Fabio Fognini - Filip Krajinovic	2:0 ✺
14.04.21	Fabio Fognini - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
13.04.21	Fabio Fognini - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Marbella
08.04.21	Jaume Munar - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.21	Sebastian Korda - Fabio Fognini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hamburg
24.09.20	Casper Ruud - Fabio Fognini	2:0
ATP Cup
04.01.20	Fabio Fognini - Casper Ruud	0:2

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