Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/8-finalsDate: 11 March 2026, Wednesday
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Carlos Alcaraz Garfia |
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Casper Ruud |
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- The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 89.7% | Casper Ruud 10.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Casper Ruud Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Ruud will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruud (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -5.5 Games - Alcaraz Garfia (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 19.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 Sets - Ruud (3.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ruud (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Ruud is ranked ATP: 13.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 3.Alcaraz Garfia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).Ruud has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the clear favorite.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;