Match Info

Date: 15 April 2021, Thursday


	Casper Ruud		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.92	1.88	Watch
	1.88	1.86
	1.94	1.96
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.93	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2)	1.9 ↑ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casper Ruud
49.9%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.3%	0%	54.7%

Casper Ruud - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: 106 users predict this event. Ruud will win (votes: 48 - 45.3%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 58 - 54.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 45.2% – 64.2%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ruud is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Carreno Busta in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ruud could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ruud won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casper Ruud
ATP Monte Carlo
14.04.21	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
13.04.21	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Marbella
09.04.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
08.04.21	Gianluca Mager - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
18.03.21	Casper Ruud - Alexander Zverev	Zverev A. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLW?
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Monte Carlo
14.04.21	Karen Khachanov - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
13.04.21	Stefano Travaglia - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
ATP Marbella
11.04.21	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
10.04.21	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:1 ✺
09.04.21	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Soon Woo Kwon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Kitzbuhel
30.07.19	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Casper Ruud	1:2
ATP Rio de Janeiro
25.02.17	Casper Ruud - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2

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