Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday


	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.57	Watch
	2.36	1.57	Watch
	2.42	1.63
	2.33	1.61	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.33	1.61	Watch
	2.36	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.21)	1.59 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
40.2%

Casper Ruud
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Rune will win (votes: 11 - 44%). Ruud will win (votes: 14 - 56%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruud: 36.5% – 75.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Ruud (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Casper Ruud will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Rune (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Ruud (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rune is ranked ATP: 13. Ruud is ranked ATP: 10.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rune won 1.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Rune could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ruud will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Rune won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:15 (average 0.7:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Barcelona
16.04.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
14.04.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Nuno Borges	Rune H. retired ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Reilly Opelka	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
16.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WW?LL
- Casper Ruud
ATP Barcelona
16.04.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.25	Alexei Popyrin - Casper Ruud	2:1 ✺
09.04.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.25	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Acapulco
01.03.24	Casper Ruud - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:1
ATP Roland Garros
07.06.23	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Casper Ruud	1:3
ATP Roma
20.05.23	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Casper Ruud	2:1
ATP Roland Garros
01.06.22	Casper Ruud - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	3:1
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.22	Casper Ruud - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0
ATP Bastad
15.07.21	Casper Ruud - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.21	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Casper Ruud	0:2

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