Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Knoxville, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday


	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe		Alex Rybakov

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.84	1.99
	1.57	2.27	Watch
			Watch
	1.74	1.95	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.1)	1.98 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
53.1%

Alex Rybakov
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cedrik-Marcel Stebe's performance.

Alex Rybakov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Rybakov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cedrik-Marcel Stebe than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cedrik-Marcel Stebe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Rybakov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Cedrik Marcel Stebe - Alex Rybakov Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stebe will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Rybakov will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex Rybakov will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Stebe is ranked ATP: 426. Rybakov is ranked ATP: 264.

Stebe is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rybakov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Stebe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Stebe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
ATP Challenger
23.10.25	Justin Engel - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Marko Topo - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Alex Rybakov
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Alex Rybakov - Martin Damm	Canceled ✺
13.10.25	Dhakshineswar Suresh - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Alex Rybakov - Johannus Monday	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Alex Rybakov - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 ?LLLW

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Alex Rybakov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide