Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sarasota, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Alex Rybakov		Martin Damm

	1	2
			Watch
	3.15	1.3	Watch
	3.49	1.34
	3.22	1.3	Watch
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.27	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.02)	1.3 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alex Rybakov
28.2%

Martin Damm
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

69.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Rybakov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Martin Damm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Alex Rybakov - Martin Damm Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Rybakov will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Damm will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Rybakov Alex - withdrawn.

Rybakov is ranked ATP: 341. Damm is ranked ATP: 126.

Rybakov has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Damm's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Damm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Damm is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rybakov won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Rybakov
ATP Houston
28.03.26	Alex Bolt - Alex Rybakov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Robin Bertrand - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Ioannis Xilas - Alex Rybakov	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Alex Rybakov - Jacopo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLW
- Martin Damm
ATP Houston
31.03.26	Martin Damm - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Martin Damm - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Martin Damm - Jacob Fearnley	Fearnley J. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Martin Damm - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LL?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Alex Rybakov - Martin Damm	Canceled
ITF Tournaments
26.05.21	Alex Rybakov - Martin Damm	2:0

Alex Rybakov - Martin Damm: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide