Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bad Waltersdorf, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe		Joel Schwaerzler

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.55	1.45	Watch
			Watch
	2.59	1.46	Watch
	2.55	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (1.98)	1.46 ↓ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
36.3%

Joel Schwaerzler
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cedrik-Marcel Stebe's form might have worsened.

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joel Schwaerzler's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cedrik-Marcel Stebe than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cedrik-Marcel Stebe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Cedrik Marcel Stebe - Joel Schwaerzler Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Stebe will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Schwaerzler will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Stebe is ranked ATP: 445. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 248.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Stebe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Schwaerzler might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Marko Topo - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Matyas Cerny - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Alexander Ritschard	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Zdenek Kolar - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWW
- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
06.09.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Jan Choinski - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Alex Molcan - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWL

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Joel Schwaerzler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide