Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tulln, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday


	Jan Choinski		Joel Schwaerzler

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.68	2.23
			Watch
	1.66	2.14	Watch
	1.59	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.59)	2.11 ↓ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
55.7%

Joel Schwaerzler
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Jan Choinski - Joel Schwaerzler Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 2nd Set - Schwaerzler (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Schwaerzler (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Joel Schwaerzler will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joel Schwaerzler will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Choinski (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Schwaerzler (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 150. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 262.

Choinski has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Schwaerzler is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Schwaerzler may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Choinski will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Choinski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Jan Choinski - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Jan Choinski - Terence Atmane	Canceled ✺
19.08.25	Jan Choinski - Andrea Collarini	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.08.25	Jan Choinski - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Jan Choinski - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 W?LLL
- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Alex Molcan - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
20.08.25	Joel Schwaerzler - David Jorda Sanchis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.10.24	Jan Choinski - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0

Jan Choinski - Joel Schwaerzler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide