Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tulln, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Joel Schwaerzler		Marco Trungelliti

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.87	1.83	Watch
	1.98	1.74	Watch
	1.99	1.87
	1.89	1.89	Watch
			Watch
	1.95	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.87)	1.81 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
48.1%

Marco Trungelliti
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Joel Schwaerzler - Marco Trungelliti Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Trungelliti will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 2 - 40%). Trungelliti (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 262. Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 183.

Now, both players are in good form.

Trungelliti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Marco Trungelliti - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.4%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Jan Choinski - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Alex Molcan - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLW
- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Sandro Kopp	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Luka Mikrut	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Ivan Gakhov	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.25	Marco Trungelliti - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
21.08.25	Christian Garin - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLW

Joel Schwaerzler - Marco Trungelliti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide