Match Info

Date: 1 May 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Cem Ilkel		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.35	1.57	Watch
	2.24	1.55
	2.4	1.61
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.38	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.96)	1.58 ↓ (1.79)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cem Ilkel
40.8%

Flavio Cobolli
59.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.7%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cem Ilkel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cem Ilkel's form might have worsened.

Flavio Cobolli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flavio Cobolli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cem Ilkel than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cem Ilkel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flavio Cobolli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.8%	0%	76.2%

Cem Ilkel - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Ilkel will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Cobolli will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cobolli: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Ilkel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cem Ilkel
ATP Challenger
30.04.21	Nino Serdarusic - Cem Ilkel	1:2 ✺
30.04.21	Cem Ilkel - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
27.04.21	Daniel Masur - Cem Ilkel	1:2 ✺
16.04.21	Elias Ymer - Cem Ilkel	2:0 ✺
14.04.21	Cem Ilkel - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWLW
- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Challenger
30.04.21	Flavio Cobolli - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
29.04.21	Danilo Petrovic - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
27.04.21	Flavio Cobolli - Steven Diez	2:0 ✺
22.04.21	Andrea Pellegrino - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
20.04.21	Flavio Cobolli - Aleksandar Vukic	Vukic A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWL?

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Vienna
29.10.26	Flavio Cobolli - Matteo Berrettini	✺

Cem Ilkel - Flavio Cobolli