Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montemar, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday


	Cezar Cretu		Federico Bondioli

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.76	2.08
	1.55	2.33	Watch
	1.5	2.42	Watch
	1.7	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.65)	2.33 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cezar Cretu
59.8%

Federico Bondioli
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cezar Cretu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Federico Bondioli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cezar Cretu than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Bondioli than the current prediction. (+2%)

Cezar Cretu - Federico Bondioli Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cretu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cretu is ranked ATP: 403. Bondioli is ranked ATP: 400.

Cretu is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bondioli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cretu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Cezar Cretu - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.02%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cezar Cretu
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Cezar Cretu - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Cezar Cretu - Adrian Oetzbach	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.11.25	Marcel Zielinski - Cezar Cretu	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Lorenzo Bocchi - Cezar Cretu	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Adrien Gobat - Cezar Cretu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWW
- Federico Bondioli
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Federico Bondioli - Filippo Moroni	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Federico Bondioli - Mustapha El Natour	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.11.25	Federico Bondioli - Esteban Talavera Cortes	2:1 ✺
12.11.25	Federico Bondioli - Noah Lopez Cherubino	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Federico Bondioli - Gianmarco Ferrari	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWWL

Cezar Cretu - Federico Bondioli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide