Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montemar, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday


	Cezar Cretu		Marco Trungelliti

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
			Watch
	3.25	1.29
	3.16	1.36
	3.15	1.31	Watch
	3.27	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.47)	1.31 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cezar Cretu
28.8%

Marco Trungelliti
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cezar Cretu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cezar Cretu's form might have worsened.

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marco Trungelliti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cezar Cretu than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cezar Cretu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Cezar Cretu - Marco Trungelliti Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Cretu (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cretu (votes: 1 - 50%). Trungelliti (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cretu is ranked ATP: 403. Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 135.

Cretu is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Trungelliti is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Trungelliti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Trungelliti is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cezar Cretu
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Cezar Cretu - Inaki Montes De La Torre	Canceled ✺
18.11.25	Cezar Cretu - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Cezar Cretu - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Cezar Cretu - Adrian Oetzbach	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.11.25	Marcel Zielinski - Cezar Cretu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 ?WWWL
- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
ATP Athens
01.11.25	Marco Trungelliti - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.10.25	Marco Trungelliti - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Moez Echargui - Marco Trungelliti	Canceled ✺
ATP Brussels
12.10.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLL?L

Cezar Cretu - Marco Trungelliti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide