Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Brussels - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Gilles Arnaud Bailly		Marco Trungelliti

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	1.78	2.04
	1.90	1.82	Watch
			Watch
	1.81	1.92	Watch
	1.95	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.81)	1.9 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
50.6%

Marco Trungelliti
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	0%	9.5%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Marco Trungelliti Predictions

Users Predictions: Gilles Arnaud Bailly will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gilles Arnaud Bailly will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bailly is ranked ATP: 252. Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 141.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Bailly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.15%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Marco Trungelliti - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 48.85%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Eliakim Coulibaly	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Adrian Andreev	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Federico Iannaccone	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Lorenzo Sciahbasi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL
- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
10.10.25	Marco Trungelliti - Carlos Taberner	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Marco Trungelliti - Pol Martin Tiffon	Martin Tiffon P. retired ✺
07.10.25	Marco Trungelliti - Nerman Fatic	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Zdenek Kolar - Marco Trungelliti	Canceled ✺
03.10.25	Vilius Gaubas - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 L?W?L

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Marco Trungelliti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide