Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday


	Chak Lam Coleman Wong		Damir Dzumhur

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.47	2.5
	1.58	2.5
	1.49	2.47
	1.44	2.63
	1.49	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.53)	2.53 ↑ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chak Lam Coleman Wong
63%

Damir Dzumhur
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chak Lam Coleman Wong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chak Lam Coleman Wong than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chak Lam Coleman Wong that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damir Dzumhur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Damir Dzumhur Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Wong will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Dzumhur will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Wong (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Dzumhur (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wong is ranked ATP: 123. Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 64.

Recent performances by Wong have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dzumhur has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dzumhur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wong might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chak Lam Coleman Wong
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Elias Ymer - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:1 ✺
ATP Acapulco
23.02.26	Valentin Vacherot - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLL
- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Jacob Fearnley - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
24.02.26	Damir Dzumhur - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.26	Damir Dzumhur - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Damir Dzumhur - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
09.02.26	Damir Dzumhur - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWL

Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Damir Dzumhur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide