Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Jacob Fearnley		Damir Dzumhur

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.8	2.03	Watch
	1.78	2.14
	1.75	2.08	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.81	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.4)	2.07 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
53.8%

Damir Dzumhur
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jacob Fearnley's performance.

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Damir Dzumhur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jacob Fearnley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damir Dzumhur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.7%	0%	74.3%

Jacob Fearnley - Damir Dzumhur Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Fearnley will win (votes: 9 - 25.7%). Dzumhur will win (votes: 26 - 74.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dzumhur: 59.8% – 88.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Dzumhur (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Damir Dzumhur will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Fearnley (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Dzumhur (votes: 13 - 92.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 87. Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 64.

In recent matches, Fearnley has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dzumhur has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fearnley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fearnley is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fearnley won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
23.02.26	Jacob Fearnley - Arthur Bouquier	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Clement Chidekh - Jacob Fearnley	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Jacob Fearnley	2:1 ✺
29.01.26	Lukas Pokorny - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	Lukas Neumayer - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWW
- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Acapulco
24.02.26	Damir Dzumhur - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.26	Damir Dzumhur - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Damir Dzumhur - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
09.02.26	Damir Dzumhur - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
20.01.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Damir Dzumhur	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Athens
03.11.25	Damir Dzumhur - Jacob Fearnley	2:0

Jacob Fearnley - Damir Dzumhur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide