Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday


	Charles Broom		Toby Samuel

	1	2
	4.00	1.20
	3.95	1.23
	4.69	1.24
	4.15	1.19	Watch
	5.00	1.19
	4.59	1.16	Watch
	4.20	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (2.62)	1.2 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charles Broom
21.5%

Toby Samuel
78.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charles Broom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charles Broom's form might have worsened.

Toby Samuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toby Samuel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charles Broom than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charles Broom, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toby Samuel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Charles Broom - Toby Samuel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Samuel (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Toby Samuel will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Broom is ranked ATP: 280. Samuel is ranked ATP: 127.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Broom may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Samuel is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Toby Samuel - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 64.85%, but this team recently wins 91% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charles Broom
ATP Challenger
24.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Charles Broom	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Charles Broom - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Murphy Cassone - Charles Broom	Canceled ✺
13.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Charles Broom	2:1 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
20.06.26	Marcos Giron - Charles Broom	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WW?LL
- Toby Samuel
ATP Challenger
24.07.26	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Mikael Arseneault - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Jakub Mensik - Toby Samuel	3:2 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
26.06.26	Zizou Bergs - Toby Samuel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWWLL

Charles Broom - Toby Samuel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide