Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Maanshan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Chase Ferguson		Arthur Weber

	1	2
	2.5	1.45
	2.85	1.44
	2.58	1.43	Watch
	2.75	1.36
	2.62	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.42)	1.42 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chase Ferguson
34.8%

Arthur Weber
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chase Ferguson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Arthur Weber has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chase Ferguson than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chase Ferguson, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Weber than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Weber, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chase Ferguson - Arthur Weber Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ferguson is ranked ATP: 681. Weber is ranked ATP: 406.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Weber might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferguson won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chase Ferguson
ATP Challenger
07.02.26	Chase Ferguson - Jamie Mackenzie	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Kokoro Isomura - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Enzo Aguiard - Chase Ferguson	0:2 ✺
26.01.26	Darwin Blanch - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Chase Ferguson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWLW
- Arthur Weber
ATP Challenger
10.02.26	Darwin Blanch - Arthur Weber	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Arthur Weber - David Jorda Sanchis	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Chase Ferguson - Arthur Weber	2:0 ✺
21.01.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Arthur Weber	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Arthur Weber - Ha Minh Duc Vu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.01.26	Chase Ferguson - Arthur Weber	2:0
ITF Tournaments
28.11.25	Arthur Weber - Chase Ferguson	2:0
20.07.23	Arthur Weber - Chase Ferguson	2:0

Chase Ferguson - Arthur Weber: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide