Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Brisbane, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brisbane 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Chase Ferguson		Derek Pham

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Chase Ferguson
59.8%

Derek Pham
40.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chase Ferguson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chase Ferguson's form might have worsened.

Derek Pham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derek Pham's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Ferguson is ranked ATP: 663. Pham is ranked ATP: 1222.

Ferguson has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ferguson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ferguson will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chase Ferguson
ITF Tournaments
20.07.26	Chase Ferguson - Scott Jones	2:0 ✺
17.07.26	Chase Ferguson - Jake Delaney	1:2 ✺
15.07.26	Chase Ferguson - Mustafa Ege Sik	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Chase Ferguson - Yuki Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	M Rifqi Fitriadi - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWL
- Derek Pham
ITF Tournaments
21.07.26	Ymerali Ibraimi - Derek Pham	1:2 ✺
20.11.25	Derek Pham - Micah Braswell	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Derek Pham - Nathan Ponwith	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Derek Pham - Shunsuke Mitsui	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Dane Sweeny - Derek Pham	Sweeny D. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWL?

Chase Ferguson - Derek Pham: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide