Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Brisbane, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday


	Chase Ferguson		Jake Delaney

	1	2
			Watch
	3.50	1.25
	3.50	1.26	Watch
	3.71	1.28
	3.6	1.24	Watch
	3.65	1.27
	3.49	1.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.05)	1.26 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chase Ferguson
26.1%

Jake Delaney
73.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chase Ferguson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Jake Delaney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chase Ferguson than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chase Ferguson, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jake Delaney than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jake Delaney, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chase Ferguson - Jake Delaney Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ferguson is ranked ATP: 655. Delaney is ranked ATP: 384.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Ferguson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Delaney is a strong favorite.

We predict that Delaney will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chase Ferguson
ITF Tournaments
15.07.26	Chase Ferguson - Mustafa Ege Sik	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Chase Ferguson - Yuki Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	M Rifqi Fitriadi - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Yuta Tomida - Chase Ferguson	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Noritaka Koizumi - Chase Ferguson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWW
- Jake Delaney
ITF Tournaments
15.07.26	Nikita Volonski - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Duje Markovina - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Max Purcell - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Jake Delaney - Masamichi Imamura	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWW

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