Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon (United Kingdom), grass - 1/64-finals

Date: 1 July 2024, Monday

Location: All England Club (London)


	Christian Garin		Juncheng Shang

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.8
	1.91	1.86	Watch
	2	1.9
	2.05	1.84
	2	1.8
	2.02	1.82	Watch
	1.91	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.26)	1.84 ↑ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christian Garin
48%

Juncheng Shang
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Christian Garin's performance.

Juncheng Shang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juncheng Shang might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christian Garin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juncheng Shang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.6%	0%	76.4%

Christian Garin - Juncheng Shang Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Garin will win (votes: 13 - 24.1%). Shang will win (votes: 41 - 75.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shang: 64.5% – 87.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Recent matches Garin is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shang is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shang could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Garin
ATP Wimbledon
27.06.24	Christian Garin - Timofey Skatov	3:0 ✺
26.06.24	Christian Garin - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
24.06.24	Christian Garin - Enzo Couacaud	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.24	Terence Atmane - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
09.06.24	Christian Garin - Gijs Brouwer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLL
- Juncheng Shang
ATP Eastbourne
27.06.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
26.06.24	Emil Ruusuvuori - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
24.06.24	Juncheng Shang - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
23.06.24	Giles Hussey - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
22.06.24	Oscar Otte - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWW

Christian Garin - Juncheng Shang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide