Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: HOUSTON (USA), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Christian Garin		Zizou Bergs

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.2	4.33
	1.21	4.5
	1.18	4.33
	1.22	4.86
	1.22	4.2	Watch
	1.18	4.85	Watch
	1.18	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.59)	4.56 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christian Garin
79.2%

Zizou Bergs
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Christian Garin's performance.

Zizou Bergs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zizou Bergs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christian Garin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zizou Bergs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	0%	5%

Christian Garin - Zizou Bergs Predictions

Users Predictions: Christian Garin will win (38 of 40 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.25% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Garin is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bergs is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Garin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Garin is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Garin
ATP Houston
06.04.23	Christian Garin - Brandon Nakashima	Canceled ✺
04.04.23	Hugo Dellien - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.23	Christian Garin - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
25.03.23	Sebastian Baez - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
23.03.23	Marcos Giron - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 ?WLWW
- Zizou Bergs
ATP Houston
02.04.23	Zizou Bergs - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
01.04.23	Zizou Bergs - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Zizou Bergs	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.03.23	Antoine Escoffier - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
01.03.23	Zizou Bergs - Antoine Bellier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

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