Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: HOUSTON (USA), CLAY

Date: 6 April 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: HOUSTON (USA) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Christian Garin		Brandon Nakashima

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Christian Garin
61.7%

Brandon Nakashima
38.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Christian Garin's performance.

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brandon Nakashima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

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Nakashima Brandon - withdrawn.

Garin is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Nakashima is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Garin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Garin will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Garin
ATP Houston
04.04.23	Hugo Dellien - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.23	Christian Garin - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
25.03.23	Sebastian Baez - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
23.03.23	Marcos Giron - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
21.03.23	Christian Garin - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Miami
24.03.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
22.03.23	Oscar Otte - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.23	Daniil Medvedev - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
08.03.23	John Isner - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
01.03.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWL

Christian Garin - Brandon Nakashima