Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SIBIU (ROMANIA) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday


	Christoph Negritu		Juan Pablo Paz

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.31	1.57
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.21	1.61	Watch
	2.37	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.73)	1.57 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christoph Negritu
41%

Juan Pablo Paz
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christoph Negritu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Christoph Negritu's performance.

Juan Pablo Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Pablo Paz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christoph Negritu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Paz than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Pablo Paz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Negritu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Paz will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christoph Negritu
ITF Tournaments
02.09.23	Christoph Negritu - Nicola Kuhn	0:2 ✺
01.09.23	Tom Gentzsch - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
31.08.23	Yannik Kelm - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.08.23	Christoph Negritu - Oriol Roca Batalla	1:2 ✺
21.08.23	Christoph Negritu - Nicola Kuhn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWWLW
- Juan Pablo Paz
ITF Tournaments
14.09.23	Mihai Razvan Marinescu - Juan Pablo Paz	Paz J. P. walkover ✺
13.09.23	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Juan Pablo Paz	0:2 ✺
10.09.23	Cezar Cretu - Juan Pablo Paz	2:1 ✺
09.09.23	Dan Alexandru Tomescu - Juan Pablo Paz	0:2 ✺
08.09.23	Juan Pablo Paz - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 ?WLWW

Christoph Negritu - Juan Pablo Paz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide