Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 2 (Greece), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday


	Christoph Negritu		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.57	2.26	Watch
	1.55	2.5
	1.58	2.33	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.58	2.29	Watch
	1.57	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.7)	2.27 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christoph Negritu
58.9%

Lorenzo Giustino
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christoph Negritu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Christoph Negritu - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Negritu will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Giustino will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Negritu is ranked ATP: 320. Giustino is ranked ATP: 269.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Giustino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Negritu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
06.03.25	Edas Butvilas - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
04.03.25	Matthew Dellavedova - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Christoph Negritu - Max Hans Rehberg	0:2 ✺
17.02.25	Christoph Negritu - Toby Samuel	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Christoph Negritu - Ewen Lumsden	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW
- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
06.03.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Aslan Karatsev	1:2 ✺
05.03.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Alexandr Binda	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.02.25	Marko Topo - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Andres Fernandez Canovas - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
26.02.25	Gastao Elias - Lorenzo Giustino	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.09.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Christoph Negritu	2:1

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