Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos (Greece), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 March 2025, Wednesday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Alexandr Binda

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.52	2.37	Watch
	1.6	2.38
	1.57	2.35	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.36	Watch
	1.52	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.44)	2.38 ↓ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
60.6%

Alexandr Binda
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Alexandr Binda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandr Binda than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	0%	58.8%

Lorenzo Giustino - Alexandr Binda Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Binda will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Binda: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 269. Binda is ranked ATP: 489.

Giustino is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Binda is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Binda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Giustino will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ITF Tournaments
27.02.25	Marko Topo - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Andres Fernandez Canovas - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
26.02.25	Gastao Elias - Lorenzo Giustino	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
16.02.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Maxence Beauge	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.01.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Naoya Honda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LW?LL
- Alexandr Binda
ATP Challenger
03.03.25	Alexandr Binda - Stuart Parker	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Alexandr Binda - Michalis Sakellaridis	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.02.25	Robert Strombachs - Alexandr Binda	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Faris Zakaryia - Alexandr Binda	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	Jarno Jans - Alexandr Binda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWW

Lorenzo Giustino - Alexandr Binda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide