Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chisinau, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday


	Marko Topo		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.79	1.92
	1.95	1.92
	1.84	1.86	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.76	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2)	1.91 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marko Topo
51.1%

Lorenzo Giustino
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marko Topo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Marko Topo - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Topo will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Giustino will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Giustino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Topo is ranked ATP: 272. Giustino is ranked ATP: 205.

Topo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Giustino has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Giustino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Topo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Topo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Marko Topo - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.38%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marko Topo
ATP Hamburg
16.05.26	Marko Topo - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Marko Topo - Eero Vasa	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Marko Topo - Nishesh Basavareddy	Canceled ✺
28.04.26	Marko Topo - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Marko Topo - Cezar Cretu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LL?LL
- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
11.04.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Sumit Nagal	Giustino L. Retired ✺
11.04.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Andrea Pellegrino	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
03.04.26	Mili Poljicak - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Laurent Lokoli - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 L??LW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.02.25	Marko Topo - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0

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