Match Info

Date: 11 July 2021, Sunday


	Christopher OConnell		Alex Molcan

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.6
	2.3	1.6	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.27	1.65
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.32	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.39)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christopher OConnell
41.5%

Alex Molcan
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christopher OConnell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Alex Molcan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christopher OConnell that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Molcan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.5%	0%	32.5%

Christopher OConnell - Alex Molcan Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. OConnell will win (votes: 27 - 67.5%). Molcan will win (votes: 13 - 32.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for OConnell: 53% – 82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

O'Connell is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Molcan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

O'Connell could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Molcan will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christopher OConnell
ATP Hamburg
10.07.21	Christopher OConnell - Ernests Gulbis	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.21	Christopher OConnell - Gael Monfils	2:3 ✺
24.06.21	Christopher OConnell - Tomas Machac	3:0 ✺
23.06.21	Christopher OConnell - Ruben Bemelmans	2:1 ✺
22.06.21	Christopher OConnell - Filip Horansky	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW
- Alex Molcan
ATP Hamburg
10.07.21	Filip Horansky - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.21	Alex Molcan - Antoine Hoang	2:3 ✺
23.06.21	Damir Dzumhur - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
22.06.21	Alex Molcan - Ernesto Escobedo	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.06.21	Alex Molcan - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWWL

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