Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SANTIAGO (CHILE), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 26 February 2024, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Portugal	Sport TV5
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Alex Molcan		Federico Coria

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.15	Watch
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.18
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.66	2.24	Watch
	1.7	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.9)	2.17 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
56.2%

Federico Coria
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Molcan's performance.

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Coria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Molcan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Coria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.8%	0%	54.2%

Alex Molcan - Federico Coria Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Molcan will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). Coria will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coria: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Coria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Molcan won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Santiago
25.02.24	Alex Molcan - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Alex Molcan - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
10.02.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
03.02.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Alex Molcan	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLL?
- Federico Coria
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.24	Federico Coria - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
17.02.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
16.02.24	Sebastian Baez - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
15.02.24	Federico Coria - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
13.02.24	Sebastian Ofner - Federico Coria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
24.05.22	Alex Molcan - Federico Coria	3:1
ATP Lyon
19.05.22	Alex Molcan - Federico Coria	2:0
ATP Challenger
19.06.21	Alex Molcan - Federico Coria	0:2
18.05.21	Federico Coria - Alex Molcan	2:1

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