Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ACAPULCO (MEXICO), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 February 2024, Tuesday


	Francis Tiafoe		Max Purcell

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.35	3.1
	1.39	3.22
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.36	3.19	Watch
	1.38	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)	3.08 ↑ (2.71)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
69.1%

Max Purcell
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Max Purcell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Purcell than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Francis Tiafoe - Max Purcell Predictions

Users Predictions: Francis Tiafoe will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Tiafoe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tiafoe is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Delray Beach
17.02.24	Tommy Paul - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
16.02.24	Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
15.02.24	Radu Albot - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
09.02.24	Francis Tiafoe - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
08.02.24	Francis Tiafoe - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLW
- Max Purcell
ATP Los Cabos
21.02.24	Max Purcell - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
19.02.24	Max Purcell - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
13.02.24	Max Purcell - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
07.02.24	Marcos Giron - Max Purcell	2:0 ✺
05.02.24	Mitchell Krueger - Max Purcell	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLW

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