Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: STOCKHOLM (SWEDEN), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 17 October 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Sports
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Sebastian Baez		Jeffrey John Wolf

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.25	1.62	Watch
	2.27	1.63
	2.32	1.68
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.19	1.68	Watch
	2.31	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.97)	1.64 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
41.8%

Jeffrey John Wolf
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Baez's performance.

Jeffrey John Wolf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jeffrey John Wolf might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Baez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeffrey John Wolf than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jeffrey John Wolf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.9%	0%	36.1%

Sebastian Baez - Jeffrey John Wolf Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 23 - 63.9%). Wolf will win (votes: 13 - 36.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 48.2% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Wolf will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Shanghai
08.10.23	Jannik Sinner - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
06.10.23	Dane Sweeny - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
ATP Astana
29.09.23	Jurij Rodionov - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
17.09.23	Sebastian Baez - Vilius Gaubas	Canceled ✺
16.09.23	Sebastian Baez - Richard Berankis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWL?W
- Jeffrey John Wolf
ATP Shanghai
11.10.23	Ugo Humbert - Jeffrey John Wolf	2:0 ✺
09.10.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Jeffrey John Wolf	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Jeffrey John Wolf - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
05.10.23	Jeffrey John Wolf - Pedro Cachin	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Jeffrey John Wolf	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWL

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