Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Vicenza, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday


	Chun Hsin Tseng		Joel Schwaerzler

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.41	2.7	Watch
	1.46	2.82
	1.42	2.72	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.63	Watch
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.49)	2.7 ↑ (2.49)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chun Hsin Tseng
65.5%

Joel Schwaerzler
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chun Hsin Tseng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chun Hsin Tseng than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chun Hsin Tseng that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joel Schwaerzler could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Chun Hsin Tseng - Joel Schwaerzler Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tseng will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Schwaerzler will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Schwaerzler (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Schwaerzler (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tseng is ranked ATP: 94. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 486.

Tseng has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Schwaerzler is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Schwaerzler may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tseng might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chun Hsin Tseng
ATP Challenger
29.05.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Federico Bondioli	2:1 ✺
27.05.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:1 ✺
15.05.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Roberto Carballes Baena	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLL?
- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
29.05.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1 ✺
26.05.25	Ivan Gakhov - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
25.05.25	Gabriele Piraino - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
22.05.25	Jay Clarke - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWL

Chun Hsin Tseng - Joel Schwaerzler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide