Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Turin 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Chun Hsin Tseng

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.57	2.54
	1.54	2.37	Watch
			Watch
	1.55	2.36	Watch
	1.54	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.7)	2.36 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
60.4%

Chun Hsin Tseng
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Camilo Ugo Carabelli's performance.

Chun Hsin Tseng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chun Hsin Tseng might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Camilo Ugo Carabelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chun Hsin Tseng than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chun Hsin Tseng could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Chun Hsin Tseng Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4 Games - Tseng (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 1 - 50%). Tseng (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 60. Tseng is ranked ATP: 102.

Ugo Carabelli has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tseng is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tseng may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ugo Carabelli could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ugo Carabelli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 55.03%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
15.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Christopher OConnell - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWL
- Chun Hsin Tseng
ATP Challenger
15.05.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Roberto Carballes Baena	Canceled ✺
15.05.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
13.05.25	Jacopo Vasami - Chun Hsin Tseng	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.25	Francesco Passaro - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:1 ✺
06.05.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 ?WWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.10.20	Chun Hsin Tseng - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0

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