Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Skopje, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday


	Jay Clarke		Joel Schwaerzler

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	2.21	1.7
	2.2	1.66	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	2.02	1.73	Watch
	2.03	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.86)	1.7 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jay Clarke
45%

Joel Schwaerzler
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jay Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jay Clarke, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Jay Clarke - Joel Schwaerzler Predictions

Users Predictions: Joel Schwaerzler will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joel Schwaerzler will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Clarke is ranked ATP: 250. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 349.

Clarke is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Schwaerzler has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Clarke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jay Clarke
ATP Challenger
21.05.25	Jay Clarke - Pedro Cachin	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Jay Clarke - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.05.25	Jay Clarke - Clement Tabur	0:2 ✺
16.05.25	Jay Clarke - Svyatoslav Gulin	2:0 ✺
15.05.25	Jay Clarke - Nick Hardt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWW
- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
21.05.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWL

Jay Clarke - Joel Schwaerzler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide