Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Chun Hsin Tseng		Nicolas Mejia

	1	2
			Watch
	1.60	2.25
	1.57	2.33	Watch
	1.59	2.29	Watch
	1.59	2.35
	1.57	2.42	Watch
	1.55	2.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.32)	2.32 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chun Hsin Tseng
59.5%

Nicolas Mejia
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chun Hsin Tseng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chun Hsin Tseng's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Mejia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chun Hsin Tseng than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chun Hsin Tseng, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Mejia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Chun Hsin Tseng - Nicolas Mejia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tseng is ranked ATP: 221., and Mejia is ranked ATP: 116..

In recent outings, Tseng has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Mejia has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Tseng could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tseng holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Tseng has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chun Hsin Tseng
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Olle Wallin	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Max Dahlin	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Kasidit Samrej - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 W?LLW
- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Ugo Blanchet - Nicolas Mejia	Mejia N. Retired ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Nicolas Mejia	Canceled ✺
18.09.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Nicolas Mejia - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 ??LLL

Latest Head to Head

Boys Singles French Open
07.06.18	Nicolas Mejia - Chun Hsin Tseng	0:2

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