Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Ugo Blanchet		Nicolas Mejia

	1	2
	1.67	2.10	Watch
	1.70	2.05
	1.74	2.05
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.12
	1.68	2.03	Watch
	1.70	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.56)	2.07 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ugo Blanchet
54.9%

Nicolas Mejia
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Blanchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Blanchet than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ugo Blanchet - Nicolas Mejia Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Blanchet will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Mejia will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Blanchet is ranked ATP: 331., and Mejia is ranked ATP: 121..

In recent outings, Blanchet has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Mejia is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Blanchet could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Blanchet is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Ugo Blanchet - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 58.86%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Nicolas Mejia - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.14%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Blanchet
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Ugo Blanchet - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Ugo Blanchet - Daniel Masur	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Ugo Blanchet - Daniel Rincon	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Ugo Blanchet - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWW
- Nicolas Mejia
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Nicolas Mejia	Canceled ✺
18.09.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Nicolas Mejia - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Adam Walton - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 ?LLLL

Upcoming Matches