Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Nicolas Mejia		Liam Draxl

	1	2
	2	1.73
	1.90	1.85
	2.14	1.68
	1.95	1.91
	1.85	1.87	Watch
	1.9	1.89
	1.85	1.89	Watch
	2.15	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.11)	1.81 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
47.9%

Liam Draxl
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Nicolas Mejia - Liam Draxl Predictions

Users Predictions: Liam Draxl will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 115. Draxl is ranked ATP: 217.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mejia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mejia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Nicolas Mejia - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.33%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Liam Draxl - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.67%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Adam Walton - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Henrique Rocha - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
13.08.26	Nicolas Mejia - Jacob Fearnley	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Nicolas Mejia - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWWL
- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Liam Draxl - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.07.26	Liam Draxl - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Liam Draxl - Clement Chidekh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.04.25	Nicolas Mejia - Liam Draxl	2:1
24.01.25	Liam Draxl - Nicolas Mejia	2:0

Nicolas Mejia - Liam Draxl: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide