Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Claire Liu		Katarzyna Kawa

	1	2
	1.73	2
	1.73	2.05
	1.83	2.07
	1.79	1.98	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.74	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.75)	2.02 ↓ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Claire Liu
53.3%

Katarzyna Kawa
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Claire Liu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Katarzyna Kawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Claire Liu than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katarzyna Kawa than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Claire Liu - Katarzyna Kawa Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Liu will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Kawa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liu: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Liu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Liu is ranked WTA: 182. Kawa is ranked WTA: 139.

Each of the two players have built a series of wins lately.

Liu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Liu could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Liu will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Liu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Katarzyna Kawa - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 46.16%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Claire Liu
WTA Roland Garros
19.05.26	Laura Pigossi - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.05.26	Claire Liu - Anna Siskova	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Mai Hontama - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
14.05.26	Anastasiya Soboleva - Claire Liu	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Harmony Tan - Claire Liu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW
- Katarzyna Kawa
WTA Roland Garros
19.05.26	Ayana Akli - Katarzyna Kawa	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.26	Veronika Erjavec - Katarzyna Kawa	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Hanyu Guo	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Varvara Panshina - Katarzyna Kawa	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Alevtina Ibragimova - Katarzyna Kawa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
18.08.25	Katarzyna Kawa - Claire Liu	0:2

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