Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Super Tennis


	Clara Tauson		Jessica Pegula

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.44	1.36
	3.22	1.37	Watch
	3.3	1.33
	3.53	1.31	Watch
	3.33	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.65)	1.33 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clara Tauson
28.2%

Jessica Pegula
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clara Tauson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Clara Tauson's form might have worsened.

Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jessica Pegula's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clara Tauson than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Clara Tauson, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jessica Pegula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Clara Tauson - Jessica Pegula Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pegula (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Jessica Pegula will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tauson is ranked WTA: 15. Pegula is ranked WTA: 5.

In recent matches, Tauson has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pegula is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pegula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pegula is considered a favorite.

We predict that Pegula will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Jessica Pegula - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 65.43%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clara Tauson
WTA Dubai
18.02.26	Magda Linette - Clara Tauson	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Peyton Stearns - Clara Tauson	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Sofia Kenin - Clara Tauson	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
09.02.26	Katerina Siniakova - Clara Tauson	2:0 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
06.02.26	Sara Bejlek - Clara Tauson	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWLL
- Jessica Pegula
WTA Dubai
18.02.26	Iva Jovic - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Varvara Gracheva - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
29.01.26	Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Jessica Pegula - Amanda Anisimova	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Jessica Pegula - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWW

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