Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday


	Iva Jovic		Jessica Pegula

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.17	1.4
	2.9	1.41	Watch
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.95	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.75)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iva Jovic
31.9%

Jessica Pegula
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iva Jovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iva Jovic than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iva Jovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jessica Pegula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Iva Jovic - Jessica Pegula Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Jovic will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Pegula will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 46.4% – 99%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Jovic (1.75) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jessica Pegula will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Jovic (votes: 1 - 20%). Pegula (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jovic is ranked WTA: 20. Pegula is ranked WTA: 5.

In recent matches, Jovic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pegula is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Jovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pegula is considered a favorite.

We predict that Pegula will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jovic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iva Jovic
WTA Dubai
17.02.26	Iva Jovic - Diana Shnaider	2:1 ✺
16.02.26	Iva Jovic - Kamilla Rakhimova	2:1 ✺
16.02.26	Iva Jovic - Maria Sakkari	Canceled ✺
WTA Australian Open
26.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Iva Jovic	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Yulia Putintseva - Iva Jovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WW?LW
- Jessica Pegula
WTA Dubai
17.02.26	Varvara Gracheva - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
29.01.26	Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Jessica Pegula - Amanda Anisimova	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Jessica Pegula - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Jessica Pegula - Oksana Selekhmeteva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW

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