Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Abu Dhabi, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday


	Clara Tauson		McCartney Kessler

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.37
	1.64	2.32	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.65	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.72)	2.31 ↑ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clara Tauson
58.8%

McCartney Kessler
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clara Tauson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

McCartney Kessler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clara Tauson than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Clara Tauson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for McCartney Kessler than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that McCartney Kessler could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Clara Tauson - McCartney Kessler Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Tauson will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). Kessler will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tauson: 47.1% – 83.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Kessler (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Games - Kessler (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Tauson (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Clara Tauson will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Tauson (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Kessler (votes: 4 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tauson is ranked WTA: 16. Kessler is ranked WTA: 32.

Tauson is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Kessler has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tauson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tauson might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tauson won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clara Tauson
WTA Abu Dhabi
03.02.26	Clara Tauson - Simona Waltert	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
22.01.26	Victoria Mboko - Clara Tauson	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Polina Kudermetova - Clara Tauson	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Dalma Galfi - Clara Tauson	0:2 ✺
WTA Adelaide
11.01.26	Ajla Tomljanovic - Clara Tauson	Tauson C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWW?
- McCartney Kessler
WTA Abu Dhabi
03.02.26	McCartney Kessler - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	McCartney Kessler - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
21.01.26	Jessica Pegula - McCartney Kessler	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Emiliana Arango - McCartney Kessler	0:2 ✺
WTA Hobart
12.01.26	Olga Danilovic - McCartney Kessler	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.12.23	McCartney Kessler - Clara Tauson	2:0

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