Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuxi, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday


	Constant Lestienne		Alex Bolt

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.47	2.45	Watch
	1.54	2.54
	1.52	2.48	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.51	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.7)	2.47 ↑ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constant Lestienne
62.2%

Alex Bolt
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constant Lestienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Constant Lestienne's performance.

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Bolt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Constant Lestienne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Bolt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Constant Lestienne - Alex Bolt Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lestienne will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Bolt will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Lestienne (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lestienne (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lestienne is ranked ATP: 184. Bolt is ranked ATP: 236.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Constant Lestienne - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.83%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constant Lestienne
ATP Challenger
06.05.25	Constant Lestienne - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
28.04.25	Constant Lestienne - Yu Hsiou Hsu	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Constant Lestienne - Hyeon Chung	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Constant Lestienne - Brandon Holt	1:2 ✺
25.03.25	Constant Lestienne - Christopher Eubanks	Lestienne C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLL?
- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
06.05.25	Evan Zhu - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Alex Bolt - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Alex Bolt - Uisung Park	1:2 ✺
16.04.25	Alex Bolt - Brandon Holt	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLLW

Constant Lestienne - Alex Bolt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide