Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuxi, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday


	Constant Lestienne		Yasutaka Uchiyama

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.17	Watch
	1.7	2.19
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.64	2.17	Watch
	1.62	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.82)	2.16 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constant Lestienne
56.8%

Yasutaka Uchiyama
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constant Lestienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Constant Lestienne's performance.

Yasutaka Uchiyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yasutaka Uchiyama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Constant Lestienne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yasutaka Uchiyama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Constant Lestienne - Yasutaka Uchiyama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lestienne is ranked ATP: 180. Uchiyama is ranked ATP: 209.

Lestienne is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Uchiyama is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lestienne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lestienne could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Uchiyama will win today's game, with odds of 2.2.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lestienne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Yasutaka Uchiyama - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.46%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constant Lestienne
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Constant Lestienne - Yu Hsiou Hsu	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Constant Lestienne - Hyeon Chung	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Constant Lestienne - Brandon Holt	1:2 ✺
25.03.25	Constant Lestienne - Christopher Eubanks	Lestienne C. retired ✺
14.03.25	Alexandre Muller - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LLL?L
- Yasutaka Uchiyama
ATP Challenger
24.04.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Hugo Grenier	Grenier H. walkover ✺
22.04.25	Kaichi Uchida - Yasutaka Uchiyama	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Adam Walton - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:1 ✺
16.04.25	Soon Woo Kwon - Yasutaka Uchiyama	1:2 ✺
15.04.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 ?WLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
25.06.18	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Constant Lestienne	0:2

Constant Lestienne - Yasutaka Uchiyama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide