Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MONTPELLIER (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 1 February 2024, Thursday


	Constant Lestienne		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.58	Watch
	2.43	1.62
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.38	1.59	Watch
	2.5	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2)	1.58 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constant Lestienne
39.7%

Flavio Cobolli
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constant Lestienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Constant Lestienne's form might have worsened.

Flavio Cobolli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flavio Cobolli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Constant Lestienne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flavio Cobolli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Constant Lestienne - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Users Predictions: Flavio Cobolli will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lestienne is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cobolli is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cobolli will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Cobolli to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lestienne won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constant Lestienne
ATP Montpellier
31.01.24	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Constant Lestienne	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.01.24	Billy Harris - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.24	Constant Lestienne - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
06.01.24	Alexandre Muller - Constant Lestienne	2:1 ✺
05.01.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Constant Lestienne	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLLL?
- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Montpellier
31.01.24	Flavio Cobolli - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.24	Alex De Minaur - Flavio Cobolli	3:0 ✺
16.01.24	Pavel Kotov - Flavio Cobolli	1:3 ✺
14.01.24	Flavio Cobolli - Nicolas Jarry	3:2 ✺
11.01.24	Flavio Cobolli - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.10.23	Flavio Cobolli - Constant Lestienne	2:0

Constant Lestienne - Flavio Cobolli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide