Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ALICANTE (SPAIN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday


	Constant Lestienne		Federico Gaio

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.5
	1.25	3.6
	1.28	3.78
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.28	3.42	Watch
	1.27	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.46)	3.5 ↑ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constant Lestienne
73.3%

Federico Gaio
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constant Lestienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Constant Lestienne's performance.

Federico Gaio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Gaio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Constant Lestienne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Gaio than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Gaio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Constant Lestienne - Federico Gaio Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Lestienne will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Gaio will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gaio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lestienne is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lestienne won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constant Lestienne
ATP Challenger
28.09.23	Constant Lestienne - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
27.09.23	Constant Lestienne - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Liam Broady - Constant Lestienne	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Michael Mmoh - Constant Lestienne	Mmoh M. retired ✺
22.09.23	Constant Lestienne - Sebastian Ofner	Ofner S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWW??
- Federico Gaio
ATP Challenger
06.09.23	Alejandro Moro Canas - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
04.09.23	Kalin Ivanovski - Federico Gaio	1:2 ✺
30.08.23	Federico Gaio - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.23	Francisco Comesana - Federico Gaio	2:1 ✺
22.08.23	Federico Gaio - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.08.18	Constant Lestienne - Federico Gaio	2:0
17.07.16	Federico Gaio - Constant Lestienne	2:1

Constant Lestienne - Federico Gaio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide