Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BREST (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 25 October 2023, Wednesday


	Constant Lestienne		Otto Virtanen

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.75	2	Watch
	1.78	2.08
	1.78	2.08
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.77	1.97	Watch
	1.74	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.01)	2.02 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constant Lestienne
53.6%

Otto Virtanen
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constant Lestienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Constant Lestienne's performance.

Otto Virtanen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Otto Virtanen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Constant Lestienne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Otto Virtanen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Constant Lestienne - Otto Virtanen Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Lestienne will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Virtanen will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lestienne: 19% – 81%.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Virtanen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constant Lestienne
ATP Challenger
20.10.23	Flavio Cobolli - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
18.10.23	Arthur Cazaux - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
17.10.23	Daniel Rincon - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
11.10.23	Ugo Blanchet - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
10.10.23	Antoine Bellier - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLW
- Otto Virtanen
ATP Stockholm
15.10.23	Pavel Kotov - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Damir Dzumhur - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.10.23	Lukas Klein - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
11.10.23	Otto Virtanen - Liam Broady	2:1 ✺
02.10.23	Hugo Gaston - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL

Constant Lestienne - Otto Virtanen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide