Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 September 2025, Tuesday


	Pavel Kotov		Otto Virtanen

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.37	1.52	Watch
	2.59	1.52
	3.39	1.29	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.1)	1.5 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
37%

Otto Virtanen
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pavel Kotov's form might have worsened.

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Otto Virtanen's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Pavel Kotov - Otto Virtanen Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Virtanen will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kotov is ranked ATP: 294. Virtanen is ranked ATP: 123.

Kotov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Virtanen will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kotov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Pavel Kotov - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.28%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Pavel Kotov - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Benjamin Hassan - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
05.05.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Corentin Moutet - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
27.08.25	Otto Virtanen - Hamish Stewart	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Otto Virtanen - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Otto Virtanen - Benjamin Willwerth	2:1 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
12.06.25	Nuno Borges - Otto Virtanen	Borges N. walkover ✺
10.06.25	Otto Virtanen - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stockholm
15.10.23	Pavel Kotov - Otto Virtanen	2:0
ATP Challenger
11.11.22	Otto Virtanen - Pavel Kotov	2:1

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