Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne, hard - Final

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Hugo Gaston		Otto Virtanen

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.98	1.89
	1.88	1.90	Watch
	1.88	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.82)	1.88 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
50.1%

Otto Virtanen
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Hugo Gaston - Otto Virtanen Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Virtanen will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtanen (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 101. Virtanen is ranked ATP: 140.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Gaston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gaston won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Otto Virtanen - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.84%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
11.10.25	Matej Dodig - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
10.10.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
09.10.25	Borna Gojo - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
07.10.25	Viktor Durasovic - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Clement Chidekh - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWL
- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
11.10.25	Matteo Martineau - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Otto Virtanen - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Alexander Blockx - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Tom Paris - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.25	Ivan Ivanov - Otto Virtanen	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.10.23	Hugo Gaston - Otto Virtanen	2:1
12.11.22	Otto Virtanen - Hugo Gaston	0:2

Hugo Gaston - Otto Virtanen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide